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Dan Snyder, the Washington Redskins’ owner and who declined to comment through a spokesman, argued that the protests needed to end because of the danger that the issue posed to the league’s bottom line. A $40 million NFL sponsor was considering pulling out, he told his fellow owners. Snyder kept repeating $40 million to add emphasis, amusing a clique of owners who did the math and realized that, after the players’ cut of the shared revenue, it amounted to considerably less than $1 million per club — hardly a game-changing sum for a league that last year had an average per-team profit of $101 million.
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A rematch from the memorable NFC divisional round last season — and a matchup of two of FPI’s top five teams in the NFC — is the highlight of the Sunday afternoon slate. The Packers currently are FPI’s pick to end up with the top seed in the conference, but only narrowly. Green Bay is projected to win the top seed 17 percent of the time, just ahead of the Falcons at 16 percent. Dallas, however, is in a slightly less enviable position, currently projected to make the playoffs only 30 percent of the time.
While the leverage for both teams to make the playoffs is similar — 19 percent for Dallas and 18 percent for Green Bay — the Cowboys’ situation is more desperate. A Dallas loss nearly halves its probability to reach the postseason, from 39 percent down to 20 percent, while the Packers would still be 60 percent to make the playoffs with a loss.
FPI has the game as a near coin flip, with the home Cowboys holding a slight 54 percent edge, so maybe we see 50-yard-plus field goals in the last 93 seconds again.